Tigrevs
America de Cali
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tigre are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while America de Cali are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and America de Cali hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00