GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tigre Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Unión Santa Fe Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Unión Santa Fe Res. hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tigre Res.DWLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Unión Santa Fe Res.WLDDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tigre Res.Unión Santa Fe Res.
27.3Attack36.4
54.5Defence69.7
30.3Form50.0
40.2Power53.8
0.51xG0.94
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