Tigre Res.vs
Gimnasia Mendoza 2
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigre Res. 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigre Res. 1-3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.5% | 33.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.4% | 32.4% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.1% | 34.3% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Tigre Res. 0–0 Gimnasia Mendoza 2
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Tigre Res.WLDLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gimnasia Mendoza 2WLLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tigre Res.Gimnasia Mendoza 2
30.4Attack30.4
55.1Defence62.3
33.3Form42.0
42.2Power47.2
0.72xG0.76