Tigre Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigre Res. 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Res., with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigre Res. 2-1 Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 34.9% | 29.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.4% | 32.3% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.6% | 38.2% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Tigre Res. 0–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.3%
Model confidence
38.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40