Tigre Res.vs
Argentinos Juniors Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tigre Res. 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Res., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigre Res. 0-1 Argentinos Juniors Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.4% | 31.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.1% | 32.0% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 35.5% | 36.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Tigre Res. 0–0 Argentinos Juniors Res.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
36.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20