Tigar Sveta Nedeljavs
Karlovac 1919
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlovac 1919 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1-4 Karlovac 1919
Original prediction
Karlovac 1919
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.89 | 10.3% | 26.7% | 16.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.02 | 15.1% | 23.6% | 8.4 pts |
| Away | 1.22 | 74.6% | 49.8% | -24.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Karlovac 1919
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Karlovac 1919 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60