Tienenvs
Roeselare Daisel
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roeselare Daisel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tienen 1-1 Roeselare Daisel
Original prediction
Roeselare Daisel
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.20 | 21.3% | 31.6% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 24.8% | 25.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.66 | 53.9% | 43.1% | -10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Roeselare Daisel
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Roeselare Daisel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60