Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tienen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tienen 0-0 Merelbeke
Original prediction
Tienen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 38.0% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.6% | 25.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.3% | 36.1% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Tienen
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Tienen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TienenWDWLL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MerelbekeDLWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TienenMerelbeke
80.0Attack66.7
46.7Defence66.7
46.7Form66.7
56.5Power67.2
1.72xG1.75