Tienenvs
Mandel United
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tienen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tienen 0-2 Mandel United
Original prediction
Tienen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.7% | 42.1% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 25.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.2% | 32.4% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Tienen
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Tienen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20