Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tienen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tienen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Heist are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Heist hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the First Amateur Division, while Tienen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tienen
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Tienen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 5.00/0.00