Tienenvs
Dessel Sport
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tienen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tienen 3-4 Dessel Sport
Original prediction
Tienen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.6% | 43.7% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 24.1% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.7% | 32.2% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Tienen
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Tienen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60