Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tienen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Tienen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cappellen are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tienen hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.7% in the First Amateur Division, while Tienen holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tienen
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
Tienen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00