Tiaretvs
Usm El Harrach
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tiaret 1-1 Usm El Harrach
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 11:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.48 | 25.5% | 34.3% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.58 | 34.4% | 30.8% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.1% | 34.9% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.58 · Draw 1.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TiaretNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Usm El HarrachNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
TiaretUsm El Harrach
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24