Super League
Tianjin Teda
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Yunnan Yukun
AwayThe model projects 1.61 xG for Tianjin Teda and 1.12 xG for Yunnan Yukun — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.49), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.73 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Tianjin Teda's Attack Score (94) vs Yunnan Yukun's Defensive Stability (17) and Yunnan Yukun's attack (83) vs Tianjin Teda's defence (91) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesTianjin TedaYunnan YukunProbability breakdown
Tianjin Teda leads with 45% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Tianjin Teda Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1
Tianjin Teda take on Yunnan Yukun in Super League.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Tianjin Teda are generating a consistent xG advantage — 1.61 projected against 1.12 for Yunnan Yukun. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.49 is the clearest signal in the model that Tianjin Teda are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.
Biggest risk: Yunnan Yukun have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If Yunnan Yukun carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠Yunnan Yukun are in decent form with 3 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
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Tianjin Teda
Yunnan Yukun
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun?
GoalVio's model predicts Tianjin Teda to win with 45% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tianjin Teda vs Yunnan Yukun?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.