GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tianjin Teda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tianjin Teda 1-0 Shenyang Urban

Original prediction

Tianjin Teda

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9148.7%50.6%1.9 pts
Draw3.5126.4%24.9%-1.5 pts
Away3.7424.8%24.4%-0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Tianjin Teda

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Tianjin Teda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tianjin TedaWDDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shenyang UrbanLLDLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tianjin TedaShenyang Urban
46.7Attack45.3
57.3Defence38.7
42.7Form33.3
50.2Power40.0
1.91xG1.04
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