Tianjin Tedavs
SHANGHAI SIPG
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tianjin Teda 1-3 SHANGHAI SIPG
Original prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 33.5% | 35.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.3% | 27.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 39.2% | 36.5% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
SHANGHAI SIPG
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40