Tianjin TedavsShandong Luneng

Tianjin Teda are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Super League, while Tianjin Teda holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.