GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tianjin Teda · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tianjin Teda 1-1 Qingdao Youth Island

Original prediction

Tianjin Teda

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9447.8%44.4%-3.4 pts
Draw3.3927.4%27.1%-0.3 pts
Away3.7624.7%28.5%3.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Tianjin Teda

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Tianjin Teda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tianjin TedaDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Youth IslandWDDWW

GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Tianjin TedaQingdao Youth Island
46.4Attack38.9
56.5Defence59.7
40.6Form50.0
49.0Power51.6
1.20xG0.95
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