GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tianjin Teda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Tianjin Teda 2-1 Hangzhou Greentown

Original prediction

Tianjin Teda

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5236.8%42.6%5.8 pts
Draw3.5126.4%24.5%-2.0 pts
Away2.5336.8%32.9%-3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Tianjin Teda

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Tianjin Teda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tianjin TedaDDLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hangzhou GreentownWDLLW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Tianjin TedaHangzhou Greentown
45.8Attack55.6
56.9Defence44.4
40.3Form45.8
48.9Power48.7
1.65xG1.33
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