Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zürich W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Thun W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Zürich W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich W hold a 63.9-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Zürich W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zürich W
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Zürich W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00