GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 9/30/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Young Boys W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Thun W are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Young Boys W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 4.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Young Boys W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Young Boys W

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Young Boys W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thun WLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Young Boys WWWD

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 4.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Thun WYoung Boys W
47.2Attack0.0
15.3Defence33.3
34.7Form0.0
33.1Power15.3
1.80xG2.26
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