Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thun W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Thun W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Wil W have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 11.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Thun W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thun W
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Thun W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00