GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 8/31/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Gallen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Thun W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.60 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while St. Gallen W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Gallen W

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

St. Gallen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thun WLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
St. Gallen WWDWWW

GF 17 · GA 0 · avg 3.40/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Thun WSt. Gallen W
47.2Attack33.3
15.3Defence0.0
34.7Form0.0
33.1Power15.3
1.86xG2.28
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