GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 2/10/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Gallen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Thun W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while St. Gallen W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while St. Gallen W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Gallen W

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

St. Gallen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thun WLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
St. Gallen WDLWDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Thun WSt. Gallen W
47.2Attack33.3
15.3Defence0.0
34.7Form0.0
33.1Power15.3
1.86xG2.28
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