Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sion W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Thun W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sion W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 33.1 against 34.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Sion W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sion W
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Sion W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40