Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Thun W are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.75 conceded, while Luzern W are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (33.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Luzern W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.50/3.75
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.75