Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muttenz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thun II 5-6 Muttenz
Original prediction
Muttenz
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Muttenz
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Muttenz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Thun IIWLDDW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MuttenzDWLWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Thun IIMuttenz
63.0Attack51.9
29.6Defence59.3
44.4Form51.9
46.7Power55.5
1.66xG2.03