Thróttur Vogarvs
Magni
COMPLETEDIceland · 2. Deild · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thróttur Vogar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Thróttur Vogar 2-1 Magni
Original prediction
Thróttur Vogar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.3% | 56.6% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 17.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 6.05 | 14.9% | 26.0% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Thróttur Vogar
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Thróttur Vogar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00