2. Deild2. Deild
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 10:07
Thróttur Vogar

Thróttur Vogar

Home
LWL
32
Full time
Fjolnir

Fjolnir

Away
WD
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Fjolnir(36%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Thróttur Vogar
Win probability
Thróttur Vogar
38%
Draw
26%
Fjolnir
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Thróttur Vogar
94
Fjolnir
86
Defence
Thróttur Vogar
17
Fjolnir
66
Momentum
Thróttur Vogar
33
Fjolnir
67
Danger (xG)
Thróttur Vogar
2.70
Fjolnir
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Thróttur Vogar)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Fjolnir)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Thróttur Vogar)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (Fjolnir)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar
LWLWL
FjolnirFjolnir
WDLWD

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Thróttur Vogar38%
Draw26%
Fjolnir36%

Thróttur Vogar leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Thróttur Vogar head into this in 2. Deild fixture in mixed form (LWL), while Fjolnir arrive in mixed form (WD). Thróttur Vogar have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Fjolnir over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Thróttur Vogar (94/100) and Fjolnir (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Thróttur Vogar have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Fjolnir have won 2 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Thróttur Vogar have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Fjolnir to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Thróttur Vogar 3810%, Draw 2585%, Fjolnir 3605%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Thróttur Vogar 1Draws 00 Fjolnir
Avg goals: 5.0BTTS in 1/1
26 Jun 2026
Thróttur Vogar
W32
Fjolnir

Recent form

Thróttur Vogar

Thróttur Vogar

L
@ Haukar
17 Jul 2026
12
W
vs KFG
12 Jul 2026
51
L
@ Magni
4 Jul 2026
34
W
vs Fjolnir
26 Jun 2026
32
L
vs Vikingur Olafsiik
10 Jun 2026
12
Fjolnir

Fjolnir

W
@ Dalvík / Reynir
12 Jul 2026
41
D
vs Kormákur / Hvöt
4 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Thróttur Vogar
26 Jun 2026
23
W
@ Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
10 Jun 2026
32
D
@ Haukar
15 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Thróttur Vogar vs Fjolnir?

GoalVio's model predicts Fjolnir to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Thróttur Vogar vs Fjolnir?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Thróttur Vogar vs Fjolnir?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Thróttur Vogar vs Fjolnir?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more