Throttur Reykjavikvs
Njardvik
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 9/13/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Throttur Reykjavik 2-1 Njardvik
Original prediction
Throttur Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.1% | 61.3% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.8% | 19.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.1% | 19.0% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Throttur Reykjavik
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40