Throttur Reykjavikvs
Ægir
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 8/28/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (14%), 5-0 (12%), 3-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Throttur Reykjavik 7-2 Ægir
Original prediction
Throttur Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 84.6% | 90.4% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 9.61 | 9.5% | 6.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 15.46 | 5.9% | 3.2% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–014%
- 2.5–012%
- 3.3–012%
Predicted outcome
Throttur Reykjavik
Probability
90.4%
Model confidence
90.4%
Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80