Throttur Reykjavikvs
Fylkir
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 9/19/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Throttur Reykjavik 1-0 Fylkir
Original prediction
Throttur Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.6% | 60.8% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.6% | 18.1% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.8% | 21.1% | -3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Throttur Reykjavik
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60