1. Deild
Throttur Reykjavik
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Afturelding
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
The model projects 1.33 xG for Throttur Reykjavik and 1.34 xG for Afturelding. Throttur Reykjavik's projected xG of 1.33 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 1-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Afturelding's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (18). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.67 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Throttur Reykjavik's Defensive Stability (66) and Afturelding's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesThrottur ReykjavikAftureldingProbability breakdown
Throttur Reykjavik leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Afturelding Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2
Throttur Reykjavik take on Afturelding in 1. Deild.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Throttur Reykjavik hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Throttur Reykjavik.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Throttur Reykjavik, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Afturelding score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Afturelding are in decent form with 5 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠These sides have drawn 2 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.01 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
Recent form
Throttur Reykjavik
Afturelding
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
GoalVio's model predicts Afturelding to win with 37% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Throttur Reykjavik vs Afturelding?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.