Three Bridgesvs
Lewes
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lewes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Three Bridges 1-2 Lewes
Original prediction
Lewes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.2% | 25.7% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 22.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.8% | 51.4% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Lewes
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Lewes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20