Three Bridgesvs
Leatherhead
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leatherhead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Three Bridges 3-3 Leatherhead
Original prediction
Leatherhead
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.94 | 30.6% | 25.2% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.0% | 20.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.4% | 54.7% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Leatherhead
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Leatherhead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80