Three Bridgesvs
Kingstonian
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Three Bridges · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Three Bridges 0-1 Kingstonian
Original prediction
Three Bridges
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.3% | 43.2% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.2% | 26.9% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.5% | 29.9% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Three Bridges
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Three Bridges has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 13 · GA 15 · avg 2.60/3.00