Three Bridgesvs
Carshalton Athletic
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Isthmian · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carshalton Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Three Bridges 3-2 Carshalton Athletic
Original prediction
Carshalton Athletic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.6% | 22.7% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.1% | 21.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 45.3% | 55.9% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Carshalton Athletic
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Carshalton Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40