GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/8/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while West Wallsend are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
West WallsendDLDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Thornton RedbacksWest Wallsend
52.2Attack50.0
26.1Defence13.0
36.2Form35.2
39.1Power33.7
3.08xG2.08
View match centre →