GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 8/9/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wallsend Red Devils · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Wallsend Red Devils are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wallsend Red Devils hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the NNSW League 1, while Wallsend Red Devils holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wallsend Red Devils

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Wallsend Red Devils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksLDDLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wallsend Red DevilsWLDLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Thornton RedbacksWallsend Red Devils
52.2Attack100.0
26.1Defence51.9
36.2Form74.1
39.1Power73.5
1.53xG4.21
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