GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 4/5/2025, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Toronto Awaba Stags are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksLLLDW

GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Toronto Awaba StagsWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Thornton RedbacksToronto Awaba Stags
52.2Attack42.6
26.1Defence20.4
36.2Form25.9
39.1Power32.3
2.85xG1.76
View match centre →