GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/19/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while South Cardiff are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksDLWWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
South CardiffLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Thornton RedbacksSouth Cardiff
52.2Attack27.8
26.1Defence38.9
36.2Form24.1
39.1Power33.2
2.18xG1.25
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