Thornton Redbacksvs
South Cardiff
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 4/13/2024, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Thornton Redbacks are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while South Cardiff are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thornton Redbacks
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20