GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/12/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Singleton Strikers are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksWLDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Singleton StrikersWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Thornton RedbacksSingleton Strikers
52.2Attack37.0
26.1Defence22.2
36.2Form33.3
39.1Power33.0
2.76xG1.54
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