Thornton Redbacksvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 4/11/2025, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Thornton Redbacks are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.4% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
77.4%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20