GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/11/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Cessnock City Hornets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.1 against 39.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksLLDWL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cessnock City HornetsLLWDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Thornton RedbacksCessnock City Hornets
52.2Attack53.7
26.1Defence25.9
36.2Form33.3
39.1Power39.1
2.60xG2.26
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