GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 3/9/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Cessnock City Hornets are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 7.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.1 against 39.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Cessnock City HornetsLL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 1.50/7.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Thornton RedbacksCessnock City Hornets
52.2Attack53.7
26.1Defence25.9
36.2Form33.3
39.1Power39.1
2.60xG2.26
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