GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/18/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Thornton Redbacks are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 77.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.6% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

84.6%

Model confidence

84.6%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thornton RedbacksLDWLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Belmont SwanseaWDWWD

GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Thornton RedbacksBelmont Swansea
52.2Attack100.0
26.1Defence68.1
36.2Form77.8
39.1Power77.9
1.00xG4.26
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