ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeild
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:11
Thor Akureyri

Thor Akureyri

Home
D
24
Full time
Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik

Away
LL
Thorsvollur
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Valur Reykjavik(46%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Valur Reykjavik
Win probability
Thor Akureyri
31%
Draw
23%
Valur Reykjavik
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Thor Akureyri
94
Valur Reykjavik
9
Defence
Thor Akureyri
6
Valur Reykjavik
46
Momentum
Thor Akureyri
33
Valur Reykjavik
0
Danger (xG)
Thor Akureyri
2.70
Valur Reykjavik
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Thor Akureyri)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Valur Reykjavik)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Thor Akureyri)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Valur Reykjavik)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri
DLDL
Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik
LLWD

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Thor Akureyri31%
Draw23%
Valur Reykjavik46%

Valur Reykjavik leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Thor Akureyri head into this in Úrvalsdeild fixture at Thorsvollur in mixed form (D), while Valur Reykjavik arrive in mixed form (LL). Thor Akureyri have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Valur Reykjavik over 2 games.

The model rates Thor Akureyri's attack at 94/100 against a 46/100 Valur Reykjavik defence, and Valur Reykjavik's attack at 9/100 against a 6/100 Thor Akureyri backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Thor Akureyri have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 3 home games. They average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per home match. Valur Reykjavik have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Valur Reykjavik have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Valur Reykjavik to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Thor Akureyri 3140%, Draw 2310%, Valur Reykjavik 4550%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Thor Akureyri 0Draws 01 Valur Reykjavik
Avg goals: 6.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
Thor Akureyri
L24
Valur Reykjavik

Recent form

Thor Akureyri

Thor Akureyri

D
vs KR Reykjavik
2 Jul 2026
33
L
vs Valur Reykjavik
28 Jun 2026
24
D
@ FH hafnarfjordur
21 Jun 2026
11
L
vs IA Akranes
17 May 2026
01
Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik

L
@ FH hafnarfjordur
12 Jul 2026
02
L
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4 Jul 2026
01
W
@ Thor Akureyri
28 Jun 2026
42
D
vs Keflavik
21 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Valur Reykjavik to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more