Thor Akureyrivs
Stjarnan
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 5/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Thor Akureyri are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Stjarnan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stjarnan hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (30.0 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Úrvalsdeild, while Stjarnan holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
7.8%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00