GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/20/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leiknir R. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Thor Akureyri are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leiknir R. are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leiknir R. hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the 1. Deild, while Leiknir R. holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leiknir R.

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Leiknir R. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Thor AkureyriLW

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Leiknir R.LW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Thor AkureyriLeiknir R.
40.9Attack44.4
40.9Defence50.0
40.9Form40.7
42.7Power46.0
1.34xG1.49
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